In the "notice on matters related to pv power generation in 2018" (the "New Deal"), "it is clear that distributed pv power generation projects connected before May 31 (including) will be included in the scope of scale management recognized by the state", which must be the most difficult period for the formulation before the "new policy" and the most opposed by the implementation after its introduction.
Because the New Deal refers to the "distributed" residential pv market, it even determines the fate of millions of people. "Over time the distributed dealer mortality rate is not 30 percent, it's not 60 percent, it's 100 percent!"
Too many photovoltaic workers are waiting for the New Deal to be revised. As a result, photovoltaic practitioners have played the role of the energy bureau several times. As a result, the industry has become more anxious: "do or do not give a reply, a large group of people are waiting to eat", "household subsidies or not? Every time we send a message, it's all over the edge.
Unfortunately, Lao hong thinks that it will take time to introduce a market policy to make everyone satisfied.
A phased household market policy may soon be in place. The only reason is that the Chinese communists fear nothing but harm to the common people. In the process of dealing with financial default by many countries experienced by Lao hong, the government has always been lenient to the common people, and this "new policy" has hurt too many people's interests. The most negative comments were: "government credit was destroyed overnight." The most alarmist word of discontent is: "millions of jobs are lost, hundreds of billions of industries have collapsed.
However, it will take time to put in place a "satisfactory" residential pv policy soon. Because at least two things need to be done before they are introduced:
The first is pan qingjia bottom.
It is believed that the main reason for the "innocent" of this household pv is that the home is not clear. With the new policy, it is hard for the photovoltaic industry to believe that the so-called "10GW distributed" includes residential pv. It is not only because household distribution is the natural advantage of photovoltaic power generation, but also the future direction. It is also because the total amount of installation and subsidy of distributed photovoltaic is limited. But residential pv was included, and the only explanation was a serious shortfall in subsidies, leaving management unsure.
"Panqing home bottom", need to include at least 3 levels:
Synthetically speaking: what is the total amount of renewable energy added each year? According to what scale, time and subsidy rate, what is the total amount of "photovoltaic power generation subsidy" needed to realize pv power parity online? Do we need to increase the "renewable energy surcharge" rate?
Addressing past deficits: what is the total amount of subsidies that have to be repaid for photovoltaic power?
To ensure future development: the total amount of "renewable energy surcharge" - the total amount of subsidy that needs to be paid back for photovoltaic power generation = the total amount of subsidy needed to ensure the affordable access to the Internet of photovoltaic power generation. Among them, the total amount of subsidy that can be used for household pv power generation determines the total amount of household pv power station each year.
"The total amount of subsidy that can be used for household pv power generation determines the total amount of household pv power station each year", which is the amount of subsidy that the country can afford for household pv power generation, and also the "satisfactory new policy on household pv" for the photovoltaic industry.
The second is to establish standards.
There is no standard for the construction of residential pv in the total amount of subsidy for residential pv, which is certainly not a satisfactory "new policy" for residential pv. "The amount of domestic pv subsidy that the state can afford" must be based on a certain standard of household pv, which is not only because the lack of standards in the past has led to the uncontrollable growth of household pv, but also because the future market of residential pv with fixed scale and uncertain standards must also be a market out of control.
To "establish standards", at least three levels of standards need to be established: the product standard of household pv market, the investment standard of household pv market, the access standard of service enterprises, and the system standard of household pv construction system.
It will take time to "clean up the bottom" and "establish standards", so a satisfactory residential pv policy will not be launched too soon.
Today is "630". "many home dealers sit in front of their computers in the early morning, gasping for breath and staring at the website of the national energy administration to divine their fate." Please don't be too disappointed. After all, no one in the photovoltaic industry wants to introduce a new home-use photovoltaic policy.